Washington – RealEstateRama – The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) monthly Loan Monitoring Survey revealed that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 9 basis points from 0.94% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior month to 0.85% as of May 31, 2022. According to MBA’s estimate, 425,000 homeowners are in forbearance plans.
The share of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans in forbearance decreased 5 basis points to 0.38%. Ginnie Mae loans in forbearance decreased 4 basis points to 1.25%, and the forbearance share for portfolio loans and private-label securities (PLS) declined 29 basis points to 1.86%.
“Servicers are whittling away at the remaining loans in forbearance, even as the pace of monthly forbearance exits slowed in May to a new survey low. Most borrowers exiting forbearance are moving into either a loan modification, payment deferral, or a combination of the two workout options,” said Marina Walsh, CMB, MBA’s Vice President of Industry Analysis.
Added Walsh, “It is a positive sign to see the overall servicing portfolio performance reach 95.85 percent current in May – 21 basis points higher than April’s figures. However, it is worth watching if the rapid increase in interest rates for all loans, combined with inflation that is outpacing wage growth, complicates post-forbearance workout options and puts additional pressure on borrowers in existing post-forbearance workouts.”
Key findings of MBA’s Loan Monitoring Survey – May 1 to May 31, 2022:
- Total loans in forbearance decreased by 9 basis points in May 2022 relative to April 2022: from 0.94% to 0.85%.
- By investor type, the share of Ginnie Mae loans in forbearance decreased relative to the prior month: from 1.29% to 1.25%.
- The share of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans in forbearance decreased relative to the prior month: from 0.43% to 0.38%.
- The share of other loans (e.g., portfolio and PLS loans) in forbearance decreased relative to the prior month: from 2.15% to 1.86%.
- Loans in forbearance as a share of servicing portfolio volume (#) as of May 31, 2022:
- Total: 0.85% (previous month: 0.94%)
- Independent Mortgage Banks (IMBs): 1.06% (previous month: 1.17%)
- Depositories: 0.67% (previous month: 0.74%)
- By stage, 28.2% of total loans in forbearance are in the initial forbearance plan stage, while 58.6% are in a forbearance extension. The remaining 13.2% are forbearance re-entries, including re-entries with extensions.
- Of the cumulative forbearance exits for the period from June 1, 2020, through May 31, 2022, at the time of forbearance exit:
- 29.4% resulted in a loan deferral/partial claim.
- 18.7% represented borrowers who continued to make their monthly payments during their forbearance period.
- 17.1% represented borrowers who did not make all of their monthly payments and exited forbearance without a loss mitigation plan in place yet.
- 15.7% resulted in a loan modification or trial loan modification.
- 11.2% resulted in reinstatements, in which past-due amounts are paid back when exiting forbearance.
- 6.7% resulted in loans paid off through either a refinance or by selling the home.
- The remaining 1.2% resulted in repayment plans, short sales, deed-in-lieus or other reasons.
- Total loans serviced that were current (not delinquent or in foreclosure) as a percent of servicing portfolio volume (#) rose to 95.85% in May 2022 from 95.64% in April 2022 (on a non-seasonally adjusted basis).
- The five states with the highest share of loans that were current as a percent of servicing portfolio: Idaho, Washington, Colorado, Utah, and Oregon.
- The five states with the lowest share of loans that were current as a percent of servicing portfolio: Mississippi, Louisiana, New York, West Virginia, and Illinois.
- Total completed loan workouts from 2020 and onward (repayment plans, loan deferrals/partial claims, loan modifications) that were current as a percent of total completed workouts declined to 82.75% last month from 82.99% in April.
MBA’s monthly Loan Monitoring Survey (replaced MBA’s Weekly Forbearance and Call Volume Survey in November 2021) covers the period from May 1 through May 31, 2022, and represents 70% of the first-mortgage servicing market (36.2 million loans). To subscribe to the full report, go to www.mba.org/loanmonitoring.
NOTES: The next publication of the Monthly Loan Monitoring Survey (LMS) will be released on Monday, July 18, 2022, at 4:00 p.m. ET. For more detailed information on performance metrics, including seasonally adjusted delinquency rates by stage (30 days, 60 days, 90+ days), please refer to MBA’s Quarterly National Delinquency Survey at www.mba.org/nds.
Contact
Adam DeSanctis
(202) 557-2727